About Strategic Threat Index
Open-source defence intelligence · Geospatial analysis · Non-commercial research platform
Strategic Threat Index is an independent open-source intelligence platform built to make defence analysis, geospatial monitoring, and geopolitical risk assessment accessible to researchers, analysts, and policy professionals.
The platform aggregates publicly available satellite imagery, open-source reporting, and structured intelligence datasets to provide a consolidated research environment. All assessments are derived exclusively from unclassified, open-source material — including ESA Copernicus Sentinel data, ESRI World Imagery, commercial imagery reporting from Maxar and Planet Labs, and research published by established defence and policy institutions including IISS, CSIS, SIPRI, and 38 North.
The platform monitors a curated set of strategic military and dual-use infrastructure sites using archival satellite imagery. Change scores reflect the frequency and severity of observed structural, logistical, and operational changes documented in open-source acquisition records. Sentinel-2 optical and Sentinel-1 SAR radar imagery are integrated for each monitored site.
Country threat profiles synthesise open-source reporting on military capability, strategic posture, and force structure across the primary state actors monitored by the platform. Profiles draw on publicly available IISS Military Balance data, SIPRI arms transfer records, and established academic and policy research to construct structured capability assessments.
All development logs, site assessments, and analyst notes on this platform are derived from publicly available open-source reporting. Sources are cited where possible and confidence levels are assigned to reflect the reliability and corroboration of underlying evidence. No classified, proprietary, or non-public information is used or inferred.
The platform hosts original open-source research publications covering topics in strategic studies, conflict analysis, and military technology assessment. Publications are intended for academic, policy, and research audiences and are released under open-access terms. Submissions from qualified researchers operating within the platform's OSINT methodology framework are accepted.
Strategic Threat Index is a non-commercial, non-operational research platform. It does not support, enable, or facilitate real-time surveillance, operational targeting, or any activity beyond academic and policy research. Precise site coordinates are intentionally withheld or coarsened. The platform does not access, store, or process classified information of any kind. All imagery is sourced from publicly accessible providers under open licensing terms.
Baran Ayguven is an OSINT Analyst with experience working at London-based think tanks and private intelligence firms. His work has focused on conflict analysis, open-source intelligence collection, and geopolitical risk assessment.
He graduated in War Studies from King's College London, where he specialised in security and international affairs. Strategic Threat Index was developed as a platform to bring structured OSINT methodology and geospatial analysis tooling to open research audiences.